Aguia de Maraba vs Tuna Luso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
76.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
REM
1 - 0
AGU
79%
16%
6%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 3
REM
13%
21%
66%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
PAY
1 - 0
AGU
81%
14%
5%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 1
SCI
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 1
REM
13%
21%
66%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Tuna Luso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
PAY
4 - 1
TUN
30%
22%
49%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
TUN
4 - 2
PAY
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
REM
1 - 1
TUN
35%
23%
42%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
TUN
1 - 1
REM
38%
23%
39%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
TUN
0 - 1
SCI
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 21 | 36 | 0 |