Copa Verde Last 16
Global 3-1
Aguia de Maraba vs São Raimundo RR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
AGU
6 - 1
CAM
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 0
AGU
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
REC
0 - 0
AGU
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 3
PAY
15%
23%
62%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 1
PIN
78%
14%
9%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
São Raimundo RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 0
AGU
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 2
BOA
12%
21%
67%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
SAO
46%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
NAU
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAU
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |