Aguia de Maraba vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
PAY
2 - 1
AGU
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 1
AGU
22%
24%
53%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 0
LUV
33%
27%
41%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 2
AGU
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
AGU
3 - 1
PAY
24%
22%
54%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
ARA
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 3
LUV
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
PAY
1 - 1
RIO
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
PLA
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 1
RIO
13%
17%
70%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | -1 |