Aguia de Maraba vs Capital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 0
SEC
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 0
CAM
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 2
RIO
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
REM
2 - 0
AGU
82%
13%
5%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 2
COT
5%
14%
81%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | +1 |
Matches
Capital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 4
UAC
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 1
CAP
78%
15%
7%
|
29 | 63 | 34 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TMI
0 - 2
CAP
22%
21%
57%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 3
CAP
65%
18%
16%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 0
BVT
71%
18%
12%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |