Aguia de Maraba vs Paragominas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
4 - 1
AGU
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
REC
4 - 0
AGU
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -3 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
AGU
0 - 1
PAR
62%
21%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
REM
2 - 0
AGU
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
AGU
32%
25%
44%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paragominas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 2
IND
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 0
PAY
9%
15%
76%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 2
PAR
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 3
BPA
32%
24%
45%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
AGU
32%
25%
44%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |