Aguia de Maraba vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CUI
3 - 1
AGU
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 0
FOR
22%
26%
51%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
6 - 1
AGU
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AGU
5 - 1
TRE
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
LUV
5 - 1
AGU
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
2 - 1
ICA
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ICA
0 - 0
CUI
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
PAY
1 - 1
ICA
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ICA
0 - 2
FOR
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 1
ICA
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |