Aguia de Maraba vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
56.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
CUI
2 - 1
AGU
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ICA
2 - 0
AGU
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 2
ASA
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 2
BOT
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
AGU
36%
27%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 0
BOT
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
FOR
15%
25%
61%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
ARN
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 1
FOR
22%
28%
50%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
ASA
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |