Paraense Inicial Fase Final Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Aguia de Maraba vs Castanhal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
FOR
6 - 1
AGU
83%
13%
5%
|
44 | 85 | 41 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
AGU
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 0
IND
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BPA
1 - 1
AGU
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 0
GOI
6%
15%
79%
|
43 | 77 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
AGU
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
SEC
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
REM
10%
20%
70%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 1
CAS
16%
19%
66%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 2
CAS
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |