Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 1-3
Aguia de Maraba vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
47.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
PAY
5 - 2
AGU
61%
20%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
AGU
4 - 3
CAM
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 0
REM
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
REM
4 - 2
AGU
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
IND
2 - 1
AGU
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 2
BRA
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
CFZ
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 4
BRA
23%
23%
55%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
1 - 1
BRA
22%
22%
56%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BRA
4 - 0
CEI
75%
17%
9%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |