Aguia de Maraba vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CUI
1 - 1
AGU
51%
25%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CRB
1 - 1
AGU
62%
23%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
CRA
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
AGU
4 - 1
ASA
31%
26%
42%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2015 |
ARN
4 - 2
ATL
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ABC
0 - 1
ARN
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
ARN
1 - 1
ABC
45%
26%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALE
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
POT
2 - 3
ARN
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |