Aguia de Maraba vs SE Caete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
AGU
4 - 1
TAP
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 1
BOT
15%
25%
61%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SCI
1 - 2
AGU
18%
20%
62%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 2
REM
10%
19%
72%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TUN
1 - 2
AGU
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SE Caete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SEC
2 - 1
PAY
7%
14%
79%
|
26 | 63 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TUN
1 - 0
SEC
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SEC
1 - 1
IND
23%
21%
56%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SEC
3 - 2
TAP
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 0
SEC
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |