Aguacateros de Peribán vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
65.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+190%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
12º
5º
46
5º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 58 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 56 |
8º
|
44% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
11º
|
75.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
72% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 32 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
89.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
75.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
24.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguacateros de Peribán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PDS
1 - 0
ADP
40%
22%
38%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ADP
1 - 1
IRA
12%
21%
68%
|
25 | 70 | 45 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DEV
3 - 1
ADP
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ADP
3 - 1
CAN
13%
16%
71%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +4 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
IPC
3 - 0
ADP
82%
13%
6%
|
23 | 60 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
REB
1 - 0
CAS
84%
11%
5%
|
55 | 19 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PDS
1 - 0
REB
13%
20%
67%
|
55 | 22 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
REB
1 - 0
LUL
76%
15%
9%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
IRA
3 - 0
REB
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
REB
4 - 0
TAM
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |