Aguacateros de Peribán vs Lobos ULMX analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+165%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
6º
2º
9
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 15 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguacateros de Peribán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
IRA
1 - 1
ADP
69%
20%
11%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ADP
2 - 0
COL
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
COR
1 - 4
ADP
54%
22%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ADP
2 - 2
AGU
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
REB
0 - 0
ADP
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LUL
1 - 2
GAV
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 1
LUL
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
IRA
0 - 0
LUL
72%
19%
10%
|
40 | 72 | 32 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LUL
2 - 0
COL
51%
20%
28%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
LUL
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |