Aguacateros de Peribán vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+165%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
5º
4º
7
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 22 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 21 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 21 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
9 | 19 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 16 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 15 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 13 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 13 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 12 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 11 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 11 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 8 |
12º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
24% | 67.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
19.5% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguacateros de Peribán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ADP
1 - 0
COR
58%
21%
20%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 1
ADP
57%
22%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ADP
1 - 1
REB
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PDS
1 - 4
ADP
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ADP
3 - 3
IRA
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LUL
1 - 1
IRA
6%
15%
79%
|
75 | 40 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
IRA
3 - 2
CAN
81%
14%
5%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
IRA
6 - 0
COL
83%
14%
4%
|
74 | 33 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
COR
3 - 0
IRA
7%
16%
78%
|
74 | 40 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ADP
3 - 3
IRA
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |