Aguacateros CD Uruapan vs Lobos ULMX analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
6º
11º
6º
6
3º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 22 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 21 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 21 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 19 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 16 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
|
11º
|
2 | 15 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 13 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 13 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 12 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 11 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 11 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 8 |
12º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
3.5% | 0.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
4% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 1
AGU
26%
23%
51%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 1
LEO
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 2
LUL
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
LUL
0 - 1
AGU
20%
22%
58%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 2
ADP
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 2
LUL
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
LUL
0 - 1
AGU
20%
22%
58%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LUL
2 - 2
HDZ
55%
21%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
TCS
1 - 1
LUL
23%
21%
56%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 1
LUL
71%
19%
10%
|
39 | 76 | 37 | 0 |