Aguacateros CD Uruapan vs Halcones de Zapopan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
6º
11º
6º
10
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
7 | 21 |
1º
|
41% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 21 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 20 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 19 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
10 | 16 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
2 | 15 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 13 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 13 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 12 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 12 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 11 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 8 |
12º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
4% | 6.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
5% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 86% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ZAC
4 - 0
AGU
40%
25%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 1
ADP
57%
22%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GAV
2 - 2
AGU
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 3
LUL
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 1
AGU
26%
23%
51%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Halcones de Zapopan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
HDZ
1 - 0
REB
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PDS
1 - 3
HDZ
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
CAN
3 - 1
HDZ
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
HDZ
4 - 0
ZAC
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +3 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LUL
2 - 2
HDZ
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |