Aguacateros CD Uruapan vs Gavilanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
3º
9º
3º
5
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 29 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
5 | 22 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
|
8º
|
2 | 19 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 19 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 17 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 16 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 15 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 14 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 9 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 7 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
4% | 12.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
91% | 83.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LUL
1 - 1
AGU
20%
21%
59%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LUL
0 - 0
AGU
20%
22%
58%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 1
COL
64%
19%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GAV
7 - 1
AGU
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 0
COR
78%
14%
9%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Gavilanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GAV
2 - 2
REB
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DUR
1 - 0
GAV
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
GAV
3 - 2
DUR
32%
29%
40%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GAV
1 - 1
CFO
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
CFO
0 - 1
GAV
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | +1 |