Água Santa vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 0
JUV
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
VOT
0 - 1
AGU
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 0
AGU
56%
23%
20%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
PEN
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
AGU
29%
24%
47%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 3
SER
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 2
XVD
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
XVD
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
XVD
2 - 0
FER
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 2
XVD
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |