Água Santa vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
4 - 3
AGU
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
INT
1 - 0
AGU
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
4 - 0
AGU
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
AGU
5 - 2
MAT
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AGU
3 - 1
COT
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 1
SER
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
MAT
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
SER
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
SER
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
FER
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |