Água Santa vs CA Joseense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAO
36%
23%
41%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PPE
7 - 2
AGU
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
ITU
31%
23%
46%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
4 - 1
PAL
15%
20%
66%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
4 - 0
AGU
46%
23%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
SJS
1 - 3
SAO
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
SJS
94%
5%
1%
|
44 | 86 | 42 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 3
SJS
64%
20%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SJS
2 - 0
CAT
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SJS
2 - 3
COM
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |