Água Santa vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
AAP
0 - 1
AGU
9%
16%
75%
|
55 | 17 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2019 |
AGU
0 - 1
BER
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
AGU
3 - 2
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
AGU
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
AGU
2 - 0
TAU
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 1
CUI
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 5
SAO
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 0
AAP
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 17 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
CAX
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
CIA
0 - 0
SAO
34%
30%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |