Água Santa vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
AGU
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
AGU
3 - 0
INT
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
AGU
62%
21%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
AGU
2 - 2
AUD
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
XVD
2 - 0
AGU
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
3 - 0
CAB
81%
14%
5%
|
65 | 13 | 52 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAO
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |