Água Santa vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
48.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
AGU
13%
18%
69%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 1
JUV
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
AGU
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
POR
0 - 1
AGU
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 0
POR
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 0
TAU
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SAO
5 - 1
POR
82%
14%
4%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAO
5%
13%
82%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 3
SAO
18%
24%
58%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 1
NAC
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |