Água Santa vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 3
AGU
40%
25%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
OES
1 - 2
AGU
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
AGU
3 - 1
GUA
45%
23%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
AGU
0 - 1
BAT
58%
22%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 1
AGU
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
MAT
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 4
SAO
39%
26%
34%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
OES
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |