Água Santa vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
CAB
4 - 1
AGU
9%
17%
74%
|
47 | 13 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
AGU
2 - 3
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
AGU
73%
19%
9%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
AGU
0 - 2
SAN
29%
27%
45%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
AGU
1 - 2
TAU
29%
25%
47%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
TAU
1 - 0
SAO
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
3 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
CAB
0 - 0
SAO
9%
18%
73%
|
57 | 11 | 46 | 0 |