Água Santa vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
AGU
29%
24%
47%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAO
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
AGU
33%
24%
43%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
XVD
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
FLA
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
XVD
34%
28%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 0
PEN
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
AGU
33%
24%
43%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
PEN
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 0
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |