Água Santa vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 0
BRA
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
AGU
40%
26%
35%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
AGU
4 - 1
TAU
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
VEL
2 - 1
AGU
26%
26%
47%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
AGU
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
INT
0 - 2
NAC
42%
26%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 1
NAC
43%
25%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLI
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
INT
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 3
NAC
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |