Água Santa vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
SJS
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAO
36%
23%
41%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PPE
7 - 2
AGU
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
ITU
31%
23%
46%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
4 - 1
PAL
15%
20%
66%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
SAN
15%
23%
62%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FLA
3 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
SER
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |