Água Santa vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
AGU
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 2
NOV
24%
23%
52%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 0
AGU
80%
16%
4%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
AGU
4 - 1
NAC
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
MIR
3 - 1
AGU
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
ITU
2 - 2
BOT
25%
25%
51%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
OES
1 - 0
ITU
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
ITU
0 - 4
PAL
10%
23%
67%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
BRU
2 - 0
ITU
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
ITU
2 - 0
BRU
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |