Água Santa vs Guaçuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
TAU
0 - 0
AGU
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
FRA
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 0
VOT
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
NOR
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 0
AGU
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SJS
3 - 1
GUA
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
AME
43%
24%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 6
NOV
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VOT
1 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 0
GUA
55%
23%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |