Água Santa vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 2
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
AAP
0 - 1
AGU
9%
16%
75%
|
53 | 16 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2019 |
AGU
0 - 1
BER
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
AGU
3 - 2
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
AGU
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 0
BER
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 5
SAO
20%
25%
55%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 2
GRE
70%
20%
10%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
BAT
0 - 0
GRE
45%
27%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 2
NOR
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |