Água Santa vs Francana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 0
VOT
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
NOR
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 0
AGU
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 1
AGU
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
AME
60%
21%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
FRA
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 1
TUP
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
FRA
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 3
MAT
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
TAU
3 - 1
FRA
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |