Água Santa vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
AGU
3 - 2
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
AGU
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
AGU
2 - 0
TAU
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
TAU
0 - 5
AGU
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
LIN
0 - 1
AGU
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
DES
1 - 0
BER
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
BER
1 - 1
AUD
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 1
BER
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BER
4 - 2
TAB
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
BER
0 - 4
VEL
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |