Água Santa vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
68.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
16%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
AGU
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
AGU
1 - 0
FER
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
AGU
1 - 1
ITU
39%
26%
36%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
AGU
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 2
NOV
24%
23%
52%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 0
COR
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
COR
2 - 1
GUA
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
COR
0 - 1
INT
79%
16%
5%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
COR
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
COR
2 - 0
SAN
37%
28%
34%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |