Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 1-9
AD Ferroviaria vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
38.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
FER
4 - 3
DEP
38%
22%
40%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1935 |
DEP
1 - 5
FER
78%
13%
9%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
FER
5 - 0
SAN
80%
12%
8%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1935 |
SAN
3 - 2
FER
24%
21%
55%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | -2 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
TRA
0 - 6
FER
48%
22%
30%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
SAB
5 - 0
VAD
60%
19%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
VAD
1 - 3
HER
51%
22%
28%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
OSA
6 - 1
VAD
74%
14%
12%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
VAD
4 - 2
MUR
43%
22%
35%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
VAD
0 - 1
SAB
55%
20%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |