Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 7-3
AD Ferroviaria vs Santoña CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1935 |
SAN
3 - 2
FER
24%
21%
55%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
TRA
0 - 6
FER
48%
22%
30%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
ARE
2 - 6
FER
56%
20%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 1933 |
FER
4 - 0
TRA
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
FER
4 - 0
ARE
49%
22%
29%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Santoña CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1935 |
SAN
3 - 2
FER
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1935 |
AZA
0 - 1
SAN
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
SAN
1 - 1
AZA
35%
23%
42%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
ROB
4 - 0
SAN
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
SAN
1 - 2
GIM
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |