Copa del Rey 1/1024
Global 7-3
AD Ferroviaria vs UD Salamanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
SLA
1 - 1
FER
68%
17%
16%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
CPC
2 - 0
FER
62%
18%
20%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
FER
2 - 2
SLA
51%
21%
28%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
CDT
1 - 2
FER
48%
21%
31%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
FER
3 - 2
CDB
37%
23%
40%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
UD Salamanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
SLA
1 - 1
FER
68%
17%
16%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
SLA
1 - 0
MER
82%
11%
7%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
FER
2 - 2
SLA
51%
21%
28%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
SLA
4 - 1
CPC
57%
20%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
SLA
2 - 1
CDT
73%
15%
12%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |