AD Ferroviaria vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
ALA
3 - 0
FER
76%
14%
11%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
GIR
4 - 1
FER
65%
18%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
FER
3 - 1
OSA
41%
23%
36%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
LEV
0 - 4
FER
83%
10%
7%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
FER
0 - 2
SAB
52%
21%
27%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
ZAR
3 - 0
CON
77%
14%
9%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
ALA
2 - 0
ZAR
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
ZAR
2 - 2
GIR
72%
15%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
OSA
0 - 0
ZAR
53%
22%
26%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
ZAR
4 - 1
LEV
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |