AD Ferroviaria vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.2%
12.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
IMP
4 - 3
FER
39%
22%
39%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
FER
5 - 1
CAR
68%
17%
15%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
MUR
3 - 0
FER
80%
12%
8%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
FER
2 - 0
BUR
83%
10%
6%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
ALI
5 - 4
FER
37%
22%
41%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
IMP
3 - 0
ALI
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ELC
4 - 1
IMP
75%
14%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
BUR
5 - 0
IMP
37%
21%
42%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
IMP
2 - 0
IMP
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
IMP
1 - 0
CAR
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +3 |