Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-7
AD Ferroviaria vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
52.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
FER
1 - 0
GIR
51%
22%
27%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
OSA
2 - 0
FER
79%
12%
9%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
FER
2 - 1
LEV
45%
22%
33%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
SAB
1 - 1
FER
72%
15%
13%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
FER
2 - 1
CON
54%
21%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
VCF
3 - 1
RMA
60%
20%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
RMA
4 - 1
ATM
68%
17%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
RMA
2 - 3
CEL
79%
13%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
ESP
0 - 0
RMA
46%
23%
32%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
RMA
2 - 1
HER
81%
12%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |