AD Ferroviaria vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
IMP
2 - 2
FER
31%
22%
47%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
FER
5 - 3
IMP
72%
15%
13%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
CAR
0 - 0
FER
56%
19%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
FER
2 - 1
MUR
31%
22%
47%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
BUR
0 - 4
FER
23%
21%
56%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
ELC
0 - 0
ALI
76%
14%
10%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
ELC
1 - 0
BUR
86%
9%
5%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
IMP
1 - 1
ELC
32%
22%
46%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
ELC
3 - 2
IMP
74%
15%
12%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
CAR
4 - 1
ELC
47%
21%
32%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -3 |