Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-6
AD Ferroviaria vs RC Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
41.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
FER
4 - 1
ALI
73%
15%
12%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ELC
1 - 2
FER
49%
21%
30%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
FER
3 - 1
IMP
74%
14%
12%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
IMP
4 - 3
FER
39%
22%
39%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
FER
5 - 1
CAR
68%
17%
15%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1940 |
MUR
3 - 2
DEP
60%
19%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
DEP
3 - 0
LEV
56%
20%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
CAD
2 - 1
DEP
58%
20%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
DEP
1 - 0
RSO
49%
21%
31%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
DEP
3 - 0
MUR
57%
20%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |