Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 1-10
AD Ferroviaria vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
RAC
4 - 2
FER
34%
21%
45%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
FER
1 - 0
ALA
44%
23%
33%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
FER
5 - 0
RAC
75%
14%
11%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ALA
4 - 0
FER
75%
14%
11%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ALC
1 - 1
FER
40%
21%
39%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
MAL
3 - 1
JFC
71%
16%
13%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
JFC
1 - 0
MAL
48%
22%
30%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
MAL
3 - 0
GRA
60%
20%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
CAS
6 - 0
MAL
58%
21%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
MAL
3 - 0
CAD
64%
18%
18%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |