AD Ferroviaria vs Cartagena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
15.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
MUR
3 - 0
FER
80%
12%
8%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
FER
2 - 0
BUR
83%
10%
6%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
ALI
5 - 4
FER
37%
22%
41%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
FER
3 - 1
ELC
60%
19%
21%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
IMP
2 - 2
FER
31%
22%
47%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cartagena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
CAR
1 - 2
ALI
69%
16%
15%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
ELC
2 - 2
CAR
67%
18%
16%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
IMP
1 - 0
CAR
39%
22%
39%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
CAR
0 - 1
IMP
72%
15%
13%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
BUR
1 - 2
CAR
26%
22%
52%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | +1 |