AD Ferroviaria vs Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
12.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ELC
1 - 2
FER
49%
21%
30%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
FER
3 - 1
IMP
74%
14%
12%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
IMP
4 - 3
FER
39%
22%
39%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
FER
5 - 1
CAR
68%
17%
15%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
MUR
3 - 0
FER
80%
12%
8%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ALI
3 - 2
BUR
70%
16%
14%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
ALI
3 - 2
ELC
53%
20%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
IMP
3 - 0
ALI
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ALI
2 - 0
IMP
63%
18%
19%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
CAR
1 - 2
ALI
69%
16%
15%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |