AD Ferroviaria vs Albacete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
TOM
4 - 0
FER
76%
13%
11%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
FER
2 - 2
CPC
55%
19%
26%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
FER
1 - 6
TAL
82%
10%
8%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
AVI
6 - 2
FER
70%
15%
15%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
FER
9 - 2
MAN
63%
18%
19%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
ALB
2 - 0
IMP
79%
12%
9%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
ORI
0 - 1
ALB
42%
22%
37%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
ALB
5 - 1
ELC
77%
12%
10%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
LIN
3 - 3
ALB
26%
22%
52%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
ALB
6 - 1
MED
74%
15%
11%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |