Torneo Regional Federal Amateur Final
Global 1-2
Argentino Agropecuario vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentino Agropecuario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 0
BVI
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
BVI
1 - 1
AGR
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 0
IND
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
AGR
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SDM
2 - 2
AGR
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
DES
1 - 0
HHE
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
HHE
2 - 1
DES
51%
26%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
DES
2 - 0
BHU
58%
24%
19%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
BHU
0 - 0
DES
42%
28%
30%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
DES
3 - 2
RAC
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |