Agricultores Guasave vs Leones Negros II analysis


15	ELO	38
-0.8%	Tilt	0%
14028º	General ELO ranking	6158º
171º	Country ELO ranking	110º
ELO win probability

10.2%

Agricultores Guasave

15.4%

Draw

74.4%

Leones Negros II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

10.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%

15.4%

Draw

0-0

3.3%

1-1

7.2%

2-2

3.9%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

15.4%

74.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+693%

-4%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

5º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

3

1º

12º

1

8º

12º

8º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

8º

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
6º	3	23	1º	31.5%
4º	4	23	2º	21%
7º	2	22	3º	17.5%
3º	4	21	4º	20.5%
1º	7	21	5º	19%
9º	0	18	6º	19.5%
12º	0	14	7º	15%
8º	1	12	8º	20%
11º	0	11	9º	16.5%
10º	0	11	10º	16.5%
2º	6	11	11º	17%
5º	3	11	12º	19.5%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Final Series	0%	0%
Play-offs	14%	25.5%
Mid-table	86%	74.5%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches