Ağrı Spor vs Sebat Gençlik SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
49%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+411%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
10º
15º
13º
7
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 68 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 63 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 56 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 52 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 47 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 45 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 42 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 40 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 39 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 39 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 38 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 37 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 33 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 29 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 25 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 15 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 13% |
|
Next round
|
6% | 62.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
65.5% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
28.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ağrı Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ZON
2 - 0
ASP
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ASP
0 - 1
KIR
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KAH
1 - 0
ASP
10%
16%
74%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KUS
1 - 0
ASP
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ASP
1 - 0
DAR
54%
27%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sebat Gençlik SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SGS
6 - 0
BUY
59%
22%
20%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 1
SGS
25%
24%
52%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SGS
2 - 0
POL
62%
21%
18%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ELA
1 - 0
SGS
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SGS
0 - 0
NSG
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |