Ağrı Spor vs Polatlı 1926 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
16º
6º
18
9º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
42 | 65 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 62 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 61 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 51 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 44 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 38 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 32 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 30 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 27 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
87.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10.5% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ağrı Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
NBF
1 - 1
ASP
18%
19%
62%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ASP
2 - 1
BER
47%
28%
25%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NBS
1 - 5
ASP
16%
18%
66%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
ASP
0 - 1
BYC
8%
14%
79%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ASP
1 - 0
ORD
13%
21%
66%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Polatlı 1926
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
BUY
46%
22%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 0
POL
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
POL
0 - 2
EDI
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
POL
3 - 4
NBF
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BER
5 - 3
POL
59%
19%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |